Full model metrics

Pair metrics

AIC

BIC

R²

β (p)

Lag

Sentencing Outcomes

Exonerations → Opinion (pw)

89.45

108.83

0.33

−2.14 (0.046)*

1

Orienting Signals

Pop No DP → Opinion (pw)

244.63

264.01

0.83

0.10 (0.023)*

2

Opinion → States No DP (pw)

187.58

206.96

0.45

0.25 (0.091)+

3

Moratoriums → Opinion (pw)

241.00

260.37

0.85

−3.79 (0.029)*

1

Moratoriums → Opinion (pw)

241.00

260.37

0.85

5.40 (0.006)**

2

Moratoriums → Opinion (pw)

241.00

260.37

0.85

−4.19 (0.030)*

3

Reorienting Signals

New Bans → Opinion (TCM)

240.68

286.47

0.92

−4.88 (0.015)***

2

Causation Between Orienting and Reorienting Signals

StatesNoDP → NewMoratoriums (TCM)

−70.56

−24.77

0.77

−0.05 (0.001)**

1

StatesNoDP → NewMoratoriums (TCM)

−70.56

−24.77

0.77

0.05 (0.020)*

2