Network Topology (8 7 5: Single hidden layer)

Optimisation algorithm

Training

Validation

% correct event prediction

% correct event prediction

Low flow

High flow

Low flow

High flow

1-day

5-day

1-day

5-day

1-day

5-day

1-day

5-day

Br

0.82

0.73

0.98

0.89

0.65

0.69

0.87

0.86

LM

0.81

0.72

0.98

0.88

0.65

0.72

0.87

0.87

GDM

0.72

0.68

0.91

0.83

0.65

0.72

0.87

0.87

Average

0.78

0.71

0.96

0.87

0.65

0.71

0.87

0.87

Network Topology (8 5 2 5: Double hidden layer)

Optimisation algorithm

Training

Validation

% correct event prediction

% correct event prediction

Low flow

High flow

Low flow

High flow

1-day

5-day

1-day

5-day

1-day

5-day

1-day

5-day

Br

0.81

0.73

0.97

0.89

0.65

0.70

0.88

0.87

LM

0.81

0.73

0.98

0.89

0.65

0.69

0.88

0.86

GDM

0.67

0.70

0.84

0.84

0.53

0.56

0.73

0.78

Average

0.76

0.72

0.93

0.87

0.61

0.65

0.83

0.84

Network Topology (8 4 3 5: Double hidden layer)

Optimisation algorithm

Training

Validation

% correct event prediction

% correct event prediction

Low flow

High flow

Low flow

High flow

1-day

5-day

1-day

5-day

1-day

5-day

1-day

5-day

Br

0.82

0.73

0.98

0.89

0.65

0.70

0.88

0.87

LM

0.81

0.72

0.98

0.88

0.65

0.72

0.87

0.87

GDM

0.73

0.68

0.91

0.83

0.65

0.72

0.87

0.87

Average

0.79

0.71

0.96

0.87

0.65

0.71

0.87

0.87