(a)

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-statistic

Prob

D ( ln x 1 )

0.318800

0.038797

8.217101

0.0000

D ( ln x 1 ( 1 ) )

0.172293

0.043278

3.981128

0.0001

D ( ln x 1 ( 2 ) )

0.089559

0.042981

2.083665

0.0394

D ( ln x 1 ( 3 ) )

0.332373

0.039125

8.495103

0.0000

D ( ln x 2 )

0.328854

0.052381

6.278175

0.0000

AR (1)

−0.999

0.009

−114.373

0.000

MA (1)

−0.243

0.074

−3.303

0.001

MA (2)

0.739

0.074

10.022

0.000

(b)

R2

0.999

Adjusted-R2

0.998

Predicted-R2

0.999

Std. error of regression

0.0014

F-statistic

42957

Critical value

2.71