Conditions

Scenario

1) Do nothing scenario

2) Optimistic

scenario

3) Archive the UN millennium development goal

4) Worst case scenario

Number of CVD patients

3,297,428

2,775,249

2,782,012

3,725,649

Number of CVD hospital admission saving, compare to “Do nothing scenario”

−ref

522,179 (saving)

515,416 (saving)

428,220 (increase)

Total cost (THB)

72,282,962,149

60,836,250,852

60,984,521,378

81,669,994,287

Total cost (THB) of hospitalization with 3% Discount rate

57,060,837,804

48,024,698,204

48,141,744,326

64,471,047,657

Cost of hospitalisation saving (THB)

−ref

9,036,139,600 (saving)

8,919,039,478 (saving)

7,410,209,853 (increase)

Total DALYs (years)

5,870,049

4,935,828

4,946,540

6,636,078

DALYs saving (years)

−ref

934,221 (saving)

923,509 (saving)

766,029 (increase)