Conditions

Age group

15 - 24

25 - 34

35 - 44

45 - 54

55 - 64

65 - 74

≥75

Total

Do nothing scenario

Men

6617

16,168

4658

94,021

31,198

589,000

545,177

1,609,550

Women

3662

10,240

38,912

93,534

300,332

586,461

654,736

1,687,878

Total

10,279

26,409

85,491

187,555

612,320

1,175,461

1,199,913

3,297,428

Optimistic scenario

Men

5502

13,311

38,269

76,909

254,802

482,299

450,836

1,321,927

Women

3220

8959

33,821

80,592

257,736

503,081

565,912

1,453,321

Total

8721

22,270

72,090

157,501

512,538

985,380

1,016,749

2,775,249

Reaching UN millennium goal

Men

5492

13,181

37,999

76,213

254,127

482,308

453,004

1,322,324

Women

3239

9013

34,016

81,045

259,161

505,518

567,697

1,459,688

Total

8732

22,193

72,016

157,258

513,287

987,826

1,020,700

2,782,012

Worst case scenario

Men

7522

18,315

53,043

107,066

358,514

677,311

625,333

1,847,104

Women

4033

11,316

43,173

104,367

335,897

655,003

724,758

1,878,546

Total

11,555

29,630

96,215

211,433

694,411

1,332,314

1,350,091

3,725,649