Scenario

% Change of the risk factors level

Systolic blood pressure

Total Cholesterol

Smoking

1) Do nothing scenario

0%

0%

0%

2) The optimistic scenario

−5%

−5%

−5%

3) Reach the UN millennium development goal

−5%

0%

−30%

4) The worst case scenario

+3.35%

+11.7%

−30%