| Scenario | % Change of the risk factors level | ||
| Systolic blood pressure | Total Cholesterol | Smoking | |
| 1) Do nothing scenario | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 2) The optimistic scenario | −5% | −5% | −5% |
| 3) Reach the UN millennium development goal | −5% | 0% | −30% |
| 4) The worst case scenario | +3.35% | +11.7% | −30% |