Years

Actual output

Predicted value

Absolute error

α = 0.1

α = 0.3

α = 0.5

α = 0.9

α = 0.1

α = 0.3

α = 0.5

α = 0.9

2011

15.10

15.93

15.93

15.93

15.93

0.83

0.83

0.83

0.83

2012

15.20

15.85

15.68

15.52

15.18

0.65

0.48

0.32

0.02

2013

17.50

15.79

15.54

15.36

15.20

1.72

1.96

2.14

2.30

2014

19.70

15.96

16.13

16.43

17.27

3.74

3.57

3.27

2.43

2015

19.60

16.33

17.20

18.06

19.46

3.27

2.40

1.54

0.14

2016

18.30

16.66

17.92

18.83

19.59

1.64

0.38

0.53

1.29

total

11.85

9.63

8.63

7.01

average

1.98

1.61

1.44

1.17