Years | Actual output | Predicted value | Absolute error | ||||||
α = 0.1 | α = 0.3 | α = 0.5 | α = 0.9 | α = 0.1 | α = 0.3 | α = 0.5 | α = 0.9 | ||
2011 | 15.10 | 15.93 | 15.93 | 15.93 | 15.93 | 0.83 | 0.83 | 0.83 | 0.83 |
2012 | 15.20 | 15.85 | 15.68 | 15.52 | 15.18 | 0.65 | 0.48 | 0.32 | 0.02 |
2013 | 17.50 | 15.79 | 15.54 | 15.36 | 15.20 | 1.72 | 1.96 | 2.14 | 2.30 |
2014 | 19.70 | 15.96 | 16.13 | 16.43 | 17.27 | 3.74 | 3.57 | 3.27 | 2.43 |
2015 | 19.60 | 16.33 | 17.20 | 18.06 | 19.46 | 3.27 | 2.40 | 1.54 | 0.14 |
2016 | 18.30 | 16.66 | 17.92 | 18.83 | 19.59 | 1.64 | 0.38 | 0.53 | 1.29 |
total |
|
|
|
|
| 11.85 | 9.63 | 8.63 | 7.01 |
average |
|
|
|
|
| 1.98 | 1.61 | 1.44 | 1.17 |