Model

Evaluation indicators

Henan incident

Tianjin incident

Anhui incident

LSTM

MAPE

1.534

1.365

1.962

MAE

0.0213

0.0246

0.0452

RMSE

0.0271

0.0299

0.0527

BP

MAPE

3.701

4.536

3.227

MAE

0.0516

0.0825

0.0712

RMSE

0.0676

0.0983

0.0795

RF

MAPE

4.5678

4.2698

2.7906

MAE

0.0624

0.0757

0.0631

RMSE

0.0669

0.0977

0.0808