Model | RMSE | MAPE | MASE | MAE | Normalized BIC |
ARIMA (1, 0, 1) × (2, 0, 1)12 | 0.0647 | 17.050 | 0.9186 | 0.0286 | −68.429 |
ARIMA (1, 0, 0) × (2, 1, 1)12 | 0.0314 | 13.415 | 0.7373 | 0.0230 | −114.175 |
ARIMA (1, 0, 1) × (2, 1, 2)12 | 0.0314 | 13.423 | 0.7477 | 0.0230 | −103.797 |
ARIMA (1, 0, 1) × (2, 1, 2)12 | 0.0314 | 13.367 | 0.7366 | 0.0230 | −99.135 |
ARIMA (1, 0, 0) × (2, 1, 2)12 | 0.0313 | 13.379 | 0.7350 | 0.0228 | −114.380 |
ARIMA (1, 0, 2) × (2, 1, 2)12 | 0.0314 | 13.425 | 0.7393 | 0.0231 | −92.7053 |
ARIMA (1, 1, 1) × (2, 0, 1)12 | 0.0319 | 13.833 | 0.7555 | 0.0236 | −107.305 |
ARIMA (1, 0, 0) × (0, 1, 2)12 | 0.0315 | 13.435 | 0.7403 | 0.0231 | −113.429 |
ARIMA (2, 0, 2) × (2, 1, 2)12 | 0.0313 | 13.481 | 0.7421 | 0.0231 | −87.3830 |
ARIMA (2, 1, 1) × (2, 0, 1)12 | 0.0321 | 13.692 | 0.7489 | 0.0234 | −93.115 |
ARIMA (2, 1, 2) × (2, 0, 2)12 | 0.0320 | 13.848 | 0.7557 | 0.0236 | −90.7291 |
ARIMA (2, 0, 0) × (2, 1, 2)12 | 0.0315 | 13.465 | 0.7410 | 0.0231 | −103.291 |