Model

RMSE

MAPE

MASE

MAE

Normalized BIC

ARIMA (1, 0, 1) × (2, 0, 1)12

0.0647

17.050

0.9186

0.0286

−68.429

ARIMA (1, 0, 0) × (2, 1, 1)12

0.0314

13.415

0.7373

0.0230

−114.175

ARIMA (1, 0, 1) × (2, 1, 2)12

0.0314

13.423

0.7477

0.0230

−103.797

ARIMA (1, 0, 1) × (2, 1, 2)12

0.0314

13.367

0.7366

0.0230

−99.135

ARIMA (1, 0, 0) × (2, 1, 2)12

0.0313

13.379

0.7350

0.0228

−114.380

ARIMA (1, 0, 2) × (2, 1, 2)12

0.0314

13.425

0.7393

0.0231

−92.7053

ARIMA (1, 1, 1) × (2, 0, 1)12

0.0319

13.833

0.7555

0.0236

−107.305

ARIMA (1, 0, 0) × (0, 1, 2)12

0.0315

13.435

0.7403

0.0231

−113.429

ARIMA (2, 0, 2) × (2, 1, 2)12

0.0313

13.481

0.7421

0.0231

−87.3830

ARIMA (2, 1, 1) × (2, 0, 1)12

0.0321

13.692

0.7489

0.0234

−93.115

ARIMA (2, 1, 2) × (2, 0, 2)12

0.0320

13.848

0.7557

0.0236

−90.7291

ARIMA (2, 0, 0) × (2, 1, 2)12

0.0315

13.465

0.7410

0.0231

−103.291