Climate Change Indicator | Forecast Method | BAU | NetZero | Rapid |
Surface air temperature change at 25 m (˚C) | Theoretical, Equation (2) | 0.38 | 0.14 | 0.20 |
Surface air temperature change at 25 m (˚C) | Calculated regression, Figure 4 Right | 0.38 | 0.14 | 0.20 |
Surface air temperature change (˚C) | NASA Lowess Regression, Figure 4 Right | 0.39 | 0.15 | 0.22 |
Land surface temperature change at 0.25 m (˚C) | Theoretical, Equation (3) | 0.51 | 0.18 | 0.20 |
Land surface temperature change at 0.25 m (˚C) | Calculated regression, Figure 6 Right | 0.51 | 0.18 | 0.28 |
Land surface temperature change (˚C) | NASA Lowess Regression, Figure 6 Right | 0.54 | 0.17 | 0.27 |
Sea surface temperature change at 0.06 m (˚C) | Theoretical, Equation (4) | 0.26 | 0.09 | 0.14 |
Sea surface temperature change at 0.06 m (˚C) | Calculated regression, Figure 8 Right | 0.26 | 0.09 | 0.14 |
Sea surface temperature change (˚C) | NASA Lowess Regression, Figure 8 Right | 0.28 | 0.14 | 0.18 |
Sea surface temperature change (˚C) | NOAA Regression, Figure 8 Right | 0.34 | 0.19 | 0.23 |
Cumulated sea level rise (mm) | Theoretical | 110 | 107 | 106 |
Cumulated sea level rise (mm) | Cumulated Calculated GSLR regression, Figure 11 | 103.5 | 1.7 | 19.0 |
Cumulated sea level rise (mm) | Adjusted GMSL Regression, Figure 11 | 135.4 | 3.0 | 21.5 |