| Variables | Direct effects | Indirect effects | Total effects |
| lnPOPD | 0.223 | 1.599** | 1.822** |
| lnGDPP | 0.691*** | 2.263** | 2.954** |
| lnGDPP2 | −0.0408*** | −0.0866 | −0.127* |
| lnENI | −0.0991* | 0.323 | 0.224 |
| lnEXP | −0.0526** | −0.0973 | −0.150 |
| lnSEC | 0.122 | −0.270 | −0.149 |
| lnPVEH | 0.116*** | −0.188** | −0.0726 |