Magnitude ${\text{M}}_{\text{max,i}}$ of strongest earthquake in range i,

Region of the Earth

Date ${\text{t}}_{\text{e,i}}$ of strongest earthquake in range i, in yr

The time range i

The probability ${\text{Pr}}_{\text{i}}$

${\text{Δ}}_{\text{i}}=\left|{\text{t}}_{\text{e,i}}-{\text{t}}^{\ast }{\text{(τ}}_{\text{c,r}}\text{,}2\text{020)}\right|$ in days

${\text{M}}_{\text{max,8}}=6.0$ , 41 km NW of Platanos, Greece

November 27, 2019 = 2019.907255

November 27, 2019 ÷

December 6, 2019

$\frac{4}{55}$

39.96 days before the date ${\text{t}}^{\ast }\text{(2020)}$

${\text{M}}_{\text{max,7}}=6.4$ , 16 km WSW of Mamurras, Albania

November 26, 2019

= 2019.904517

November 17, 2019 ÷

November 26, 2019

$\frac{2}{55}$

40.96 days before the date ${\text{t}}^{\ast }\text{(2020)}$

${\text{M}}_{\text{max,6}}=7.1$ , 138 km E of Bitung, Indonesia

November 14, 2019

= 2019.871663

November 7, 2019 ÷

November 16, 2019

$\frac{4}{55}$

52.96 days before the date ${\text{t}}^{\ast }\text{(2020)}$

${\text{M}}_{\text{max,5}}=$ 6.6, 136 km W of Neiafu, Tonga

November 4, 2019

= 2019.844284

October 28, 2019 ÷

November 6, 2019

$\frac{2}{55}$

62.96 days before the date ${\text{t}}^{\ast }\text{(2020)}$

${\text{M}}_{\text{max,5}}=6.6$ , 14 km E of Bual, Philippines

October 29, 2019

= 2019.829397

October 28, 2019 ÷

November 6, 2019

$\frac{2}{55}$

68.4 days before the date ${\text{t}}^{\ast }\text{(2020)}$

${\text{M}}_{\text{max,4}}=6.4$ , 63 km NNE of Isangel, Vanuatu

October 21, 2019

= 2019.807494

October 18, 2019 ÷

October 27, 2019

$\frac{1}{55}$

76.4 days before the date ${\text{t}}^{\ast }\text{(2020)}$

${\text{M}}_{\text{max,3}}=6.4$ , 7 km ENE of Columbio, Philippines

October 16, 2019

= 2019.793805

October 8, 2019 ÷

October 17, 2019

$\frac{2}{55}$

81.4 days before the date ${\text{t}}^{\ast }\text{(2020)}$

${\text{M}}_{\text{max,2}}=6.7$ , 69 km WSW of Constitucion, Chile

September 29, 2019

= 2019.746064

September 28, 2019 ÷

October 7, 2019

$\frac{5}{55}$

98.83 days before the date ${\text{t}}^{\ast }\text{(2020)}$

${\text{M}}_{\text{max,1}}=6.5$ , 11 km S of Kairatu, Indonesia

September 25, 2019

= 2019.735113

September 24, 2019 ÷

September 27, 2019

0

102.83 days before the date ${\text{t}}^{\ast }\text{(2020)}$