Period (t) | Months | Actual (2013) | Expected estimated Forecast Values | Estimated Errors “ ” | ||
AR(2)
| Quadratic Trend
|
| ||||
361 | January | 115.41 | −4.6296 | 116.88 | 112.25 | 3.16 |
362 | February | 118.69 | −4.1159 | 117.74 | 113.62 | 5.07 |
363 | March | 110.57 | −3.5135 | 118.61 | 115.10 | −4.53 |
364 | April | 105.17 | −2.9284 | 119.48 | 116.55 | −11.38 |
365 | May | 105.83 | −2.4050 | 120.36 | 117.96 | −12.13 |
366 | June | 106.12 | −1.9566 | 121.24 | 119.28 | −13.16 |
367 | July | 110.21 | −1.5821 | 122.12 | 120.54 | −10.33 |
368 | August | 113.62 | −1.2741 | 123.00 | 121.73 | −8.11 |
369 | September | 114.3 | −1.0233 | 123.89 | 122.87 | −8.57 |
370 | October | 112.44 | −0.8204 | 124.78 | 123.96 | −11.52 |
371 | November | 111.47 | −0.6570 | 125.68 | 125.02 | −13.55 |
372 | December | 113.11 | −0.5257 | 126.58 | 126.05 | −12.94 |
MAPE |
|
|
|
| 8.64 |