Quarterly returns for four export portfolios. The first row gives the value of the coefficients. The second row gives the t-stat for the coefficients. The critical values for t-stat for DF = 17 are 2.8982 (1%), 2.1098 (5%) and 1.7396 (10%) for 1988-1992, and for DF = 18, 2.8784 (1%), 2.1009 (5%) and 1.7341 (10%). These are designated by ***, ** and * respectively.

Sample

Fuel Products

Manufactured Products

Agricultural Products

Minerals & Ores

Period

Intercept

Slope

Intercept

Slope

Intercept

Slope

Intercept

Slope

1988-1992

0.0265

0.7858

0.0042

0.9096

0.0155

0.1155

0.0021

0.6651

0.9514

2.0239*

1.7713

27.8383***

0.6930

0.3702

0.1187

2.7127**

1989-1993

0.0204

1.1504

0.0026

0.9038

0.0101

0.1754

0.0038

0.3032

0.8095

3.0507***

0.9921

23.0054***

0.5003

0.5781

0.2068

1.0999

1990-1994

0.0082

1.2320

0.0035

0.9284

0.0214

0.2445

0.0150

0.2651

0.3285

3.4970***

1.3003

24.6511***

1.0589

0.8561

0.8258

1.0327

1991-1995

−0.0018

0.9824

0.0024

0.9531

0.0110

0.5081

0.0215

0.0483

−0.0921

3.3220***

1.0079

26.6668***

0.5004

1.5209

1.2093

0.1793

1992-1996

0.0259

0.7486

−0.0010

0.9966

0.0248

0.4773

0.0292

−0.0700

1.6123

2.8412**

−0.4357

25.8767***

1.1688

1.3733

1.6921

−0.2472

1993-1997

0.0026

0.9271

−0.0007

0.9939

0.0185

0.6744

0.0320

−0.1639

0.2005

4.6862***

−0.3231

31.5451***

0.8135

1.9262*

1.6404

−0.5469

1994-1998

−0.0080

1.0021

0.0005

0.9949

0.0101

0.8563

0.0238

0.1621

−0.5486

4.4041***

0.2625

35.6435***

0.3641

1.9901*

1.2639

0.5536

1995-1999

0.0025

1.2186

−0.0006

1.0025

0.0045

0.9204

0.0142

0.1268

0.1532

4.5051***

−0.2985

31.2258***

0.1627

1.9787*

0.8090

0.4329

1996-2000

0.0151

1.2731

−0.0011

1.0158

0.0043

0.8459

0.0079

0.0049

0.9204

4.3772***

−0.5725

28.7913***

0.1661

1.8583*

0.4993

0.0175

1997-2001

−0.0048

1.4357

−0.0002

1.0014

−0.0036

0.8955

0.0036

0.0522

−0.2917

4.6587***

−0.1278

29.8860***

−0.1507

2.0136*

0.2463

0.1944

1998-2002

0.0022

1.6105

−0.0012

0.9839

0.0013

0.8238

0.0019

0.4478

0.1484

6.0714***

−0.6823

29.7929***

0.0551

2.0015*

0.1680

2.1838**