Quarterly returns for four export portfolios. The first row gives the value of the coefficients. The second row gives the t-stat for the coefficients. The critical values for t-stat for DF = 17 are 2.8982 (1%), 2.1098 (5%) and 1.7396 (10%) for 1988-1992, and for DF = 18, 2.8784 (1%), 2.1009 (5%) and 1.7341 (10%). These are designated by ***, ** and * respectively. | |||||||||
Sample | Fuel Products | Manufactured Products | Agricultural Products | Minerals & Ores | |||||
Period | Intercept | Slope | Intercept | Slope | Intercept | Slope | Intercept | Slope | |
1988-1992 | 0.0265 | 0.7858 | 0.0042 | 0.9096 | 0.0155 | 0.1155 | 0.0021 | 0.6651 | |
| 0.9514 | 2.0239* | 1.7713 | 27.8383*** | 0.6930 | 0.3702 | 0.1187 | 2.7127** | |
1989-1993 | 0.0204 | 1.1504 | 0.0026 | 0.9038 | 0.0101 | 0.1754 | 0.0038 | 0.3032 | |
| 0.8095 | 3.0507*** | 0.9921 | 23.0054*** | 0.5003 | 0.5781 | 0.2068 | 1.0999 | |
1990-1994 | 0.0082 | 1.2320 | 0.0035 | 0.9284 | 0.0214 | 0.2445 | 0.0150 | 0.2651 | |
| 0.3285 | 3.4970*** | 1.3003 | 24.6511*** | 1.0589 | 0.8561 | 0.8258 | 1.0327 | |
1991-1995 | −0.0018 | 0.9824 | 0.0024 | 0.9531 | 0.0110 | 0.5081 | 0.0215 | 0.0483 | |
| −0.0921 | 3.3220*** | 1.0079 | 26.6668*** | 0.5004 | 1.5209 | 1.2093 | 0.1793 | |
1992-1996 | 0.0259 | 0.7486 | −0.0010 | 0.9966 | 0.0248 | 0.4773 | 0.0292 | −0.0700 | |
| 1.6123 | 2.8412** | −0.4357 | 25.8767*** | 1.1688 | 1.3733 | 1.6921 | −0.2472 | |
1993-1997 | 0.0026 | 0.9271 | −0.0007 | 0.9939 | 0.0185 | 0.6744 | 0.0320 | −0.1639 | |
| 0.2005 | 4.6862*** | −0.3231 | 31.5451*** | 0.8135 | 1.9262* | 1.6404 | −0.5469 | |
1994-1998 | −0.0080 | 1.0021 | 0.0005 | 0.9949 | 0.0101 | 0.8563 | 0.0238 | 0.1621 | |
| −0.5486 | 4.4041*** | 0.2625 | 35.6435*** | 0.3641 | 1.9901* | 1.2639 | 0.5536 | |
1995-1999 | 0.0025 | 1.2186 | −0.0006 | 1.0025 | 0.0045 | 0.9204 | 0.0142 | 0.1268 | |
| 0.1532 | 4.5051*** | −0.2985 | 31.2258*** | 0.1627 | 1.9787* | 0.8090 | 0.4329 | |
1996-2000 | 0.0151 | 1.2731 | −0.0011 | 1.0158 | 0.0043 | 0.8459 | 0.0079 | 0.0049 | |
| 0.9204 | 4.3772*** | −0.5725 | 28.7913*** | 0.1661 | 1.8583* | 0.4993 | 0.0175 | |
1997-2001 | −0.0048 | 1.4357 | −0.0002 | 1.0014 | −0.0036 | 0.8955 | 0.0036 | 0.0522 | |
| −0.2917 | 4.6587*** | −0.1278 | 29.8860*** | −0.1507 | 2.0136* | 0.2463 | 0.1944 | |
1998-2002 | 0.0022 | 1.6105 | −0.0012 | 0.9839 | 0.0013 | 0.8238 | 0.0019 | 0.4478 | |
| 0.1484 | 6.0714*** | −0.6823 | 29.7929*** | 0.0551 | 2.0015* | 0.1680 | 2.1838** | |