prior:

Uniform (0,100)

Prior:

−1 (1,1)

Prior:

−1 (10−2,10−2)

Prior:

−1 (10−4,10−4)

Prior:

−1 (10−6,10−6)

post

mean

upper

lower

post

mean

upper

lower

post

mean

upper

lower

post

mean

upper

lower

post

mean

upper

lower

α11

−5.776

−6.377

−5.145

−5.797

−6.360

−5.174

−5.857

−6.447

−5.266

−5.844

−6.418

−5.226

−5.859

−6.462

−5.263

α12

−0.026

−0.101

0.032

−0.029

−0.106

0.033

−0.019

−0.087

0.037

−0.019

−0.090

0.037

−0.018

−0.084

0.037

α21

−0.629

−1.082

−0.223

−0.772

−1.218

−0.327

−0.616

−1.072

−0.211

−0.591

−1.042

−0.200

−0.592

−1.020

−0.197

α22

−0.317

−0.647

0.006

−0.283

−0.663

0.109

−0.316

−0.630

0.026

−0.316

−0.617

0.000

−0.319

−0.630

0.003

α23

−0.141

−0.488

0.218

−0.172

−0.586

0.242

−0.148

−0.495

0.193

−0.130

−0.462

0.187

−0.129

−0.458

0.190

α24

0.191

−0.210

0.632

0.305

−0.176

0.779

0.208

−0.167

0.658

0.160

−0.152

0.553

0.159

−0.174

0.555

α25

−0.112

−0.588

0.299

−0.291

−0.771

0.245

−0.146

−0.617

0.267

−0.104

−0.522

0.244

−0.087

−0.515

0.280

α26

0.228

−0.161

0.717

0.410

−0.131

1.016

0.265

−0.163

0.744

0.250

−0.119

0.680

0.225

−0.163

0.702

α27

−0.063

−0.540

0.340

−0.131

−0.693

0.414

−0.085

−0.545

0.334

−0.092

−0.490

0.264

−0.093

−0.583

0.298

α28

−0.123

−0.641

0.363

−0.178

−0.847

0.466

−0.108

−0.591

0.343

−0.107

−0.605

0.307

−0.069

−0.538

0.390

α29

−0.034

−0.550

0.435

−0.086

−0.877

0.670

−0.022

−0.507

0.484

−0.010

−0.500

0.415

−0.057

−0.558

0.434

α210

0.205

−0.298

0.897

0.379

−0.442

1.448

0.142

−0.472

0.651

0.163

−0.256

0.805

0.168

−0.286

0.694

α211

0.011

−0.561

0.566

−0.020

−0.952

0.844

0.069

−0.461

0.652

0.025

−0.531

0.536

0.058

−0.433

0.577

α212

−0.025

−0.623

0.559

−0.088

−0.965

0.708

−0.030

−0.553

0.502

−0.030

−0.589

0.486

−0.033

−0.579

0.487

α213

−0.019

−0.604

0.647

0.037

−0.836

1.018

−0.007

−0.562

0.575

0.006

−0.550

0.577

−0.004

−0.550

0.537

α214

−0.106

−0.760

0.497

−0.169

−1.108

0.789

−0.088

−0.745

0.525

−0.088

−0.663

0.458

−0.090

−0.695

0.433

α215

−0.094

−0.861

0.603

−0.190

−1.268

0.858

−0.082

−0.782

0.569

−0.075

−0.733

0.517

−0.063

−0.734

0.557

α216

−0.054

−0.878

0.669

−0.111

−1.325

1.006

−0.045

−0.783

0.641

−0.040

−0.737

0.592

−0.040

−0.740

0.618

1/t2

0.358

0.175

0.678

0.578

0.378

0.900

0.400

0.172

0.605

0.315

−1.042

−0.200

0.316

0.158

0.562