Test Hypotheses

Tests

Chi-square value (probability)

Heteroskedasticity

White

Breusch-Pagan/Cook-Weisberg

4.62 (0.46)

0.27 (0.60)

Normality

Jarque-Bera

Δlenc

1.998 (0.36)

Δlgdp

0.080 (0.96)

Δlpop

0.011 (0.994)

ALL

2.089 (0.91)

Autocorrelation

Lagrange-multiplier test

Lag 1

10.122 (0.340)

Lag 2

16.651 (0.055)

Stability

The VECM specification imposes 2 unit moduli.