| Sl. No. | Year | Observed tourists’ arrival (‘000) | Forecast of tourists’ arrival | |
| Double exponential model | ARIMA (1, 1, 1) model | |||
| 1 | 2009 | 1490.4 | 1560.936 | 1393.607 |
| 2 | 2010 | 1609.1 | 1660.595 | 1497.643 |
| 3 | 2011 | 1822.9 | 1760.254 | 1566.134 |
| 4 | 2012 | 1873.8 | 1859.912 | 1619.997 |
| MAPE |
|
| 3.028 | 10.263 |
| RMSE |
|
| 54.186 | 195.023 |