Exogenous and instrumental variables

Ratings

Expected signs

Regression (1) with REER as endogenous variable

Economy open rate

OPEN

Net external position

EXPOS

+

Terms of trade

TOT

+/−

Social investment

INV

+

Public Spending

PUBSP

+

Country’s relative productivity

PROD

+

Real Interest Rate Differential

RDIFF

+

Regression (2) with GDPR as endogenous variable

Exchange rate misalignment

MISAL

Over evaluation

OVERVAL

Undervaluation

UNDEVAL

+

Exchange rate volatility

VOLEXCH

Population

POP

+

Inflation

DEF

Investment

INVEST

+