Viral Load > 10,000 copies/ml

P value*

Odds ratio

Yes

No

CD4 count persistently below 100 & CD4 count below baseline

Yes

77

20

0.000

3.160

No

95

81

CD4count below baseline & CD4 count falling 50% of peak value

Yes

83

42

0.306

1.294

No

89

59

CD4count falling 50% of peak value & CD4 count persistently below 100

Yes

79

44

0.738

1.088

No

93

57

Viral Load > 1000 copies/ml

P value*

Odds ratio

Yes

No

CD4 count persistently below 100 & CD4 count below baseline

Yes

79

19

0.003

2.397

No

111

64

CD4 count below baseline & CD4 count falling 50% of peak value

Yes

92

49

0.256

1.353

No

98

34

CD4 count falling 50% of peak value & CD4 count persistently below 100

Yes

88

36

0.653

1.126

No

102

47