Tentative model | AIC | ME | RMSE | MAE | MASE |
ARIMA (0, 1, 1) | 324.15 | 0.00848 | 0.5927 | 0.45957 | 0.9061 |
ARIMA (0, 1, 2) | 319.68 | 0.01039 | 0.58143 | 0.45173 | 0.89066 |
ARIMA (0, 1, 3) | 317.59 | 0.01729 | 0.5743 | 0.44758 | 0.88246 |
ARIMA (0,1,4) | 317.3 | 0.02732 | 0.57025 | 0.44855 | 0.88438 |
ARIMA (1, 1, 0) | 331.77 | 0.0067 | 0.60575 | 0.47846 | 0.94335 |
ARIMA (1, 1, 1) | 311.95 | 0.03747 | 0.56773 | 0.44612 | 0.8796 |
ARIMA (1, 1, 2) | 312.33 | 0.0415 | 0.56504 | 0.44441 | 0.87622 |
ARIMA (1, 1, 3) | 314.33 | 0.04153 | 0.56504 | 0.44439 | 0.87618 |
ARIMA (1, 1, 4) | 315.88 | 0.04107 | 0.56433 | 0.44334 | 0.87411 |
ARIMA (2, 1, 0) | 327.95 | 0.00746 | 0.59581 | 0.46693 | 0.92061 |
ARIMA (2, 1, 1) | 312.45 | 0.04106 | 0.56525 | 0.44489 | 0.87716 |
ARIMA (2, 1, 2) | 314.33 | 0.04151 | 0.56504 | 0.4444 | 0.8762 |
ARIMA (2, 1, 3) | 316.23 | 0.04046 | 0.5649 | 0.44435 | 0.87609 |
ARIMA (2, 1, 4) | 317.41 | 0.03786 | 0.56362 | 0.44161 | 0.8707 |
ARIMA (3, 1, 0) | 327.92 | 0.00768 | 0.59236 | 0.46087 | 0.90866 |
ARIMA (3, 1, 1) | 314.24 | 0.04168 | 0.5649 | 0.44402 | 0.87544 |
ARIMA (3, 1, 2) | 316.23 | 0.04163 | 0.56489 | 0.44408 | 0.87555 |
ARIMA (3, 1, 3) | 303.78 | 0.03879 | 0.53502 | 0.41461 | 0.81746 |