DGP

Q = 10

Q = 16

Q = 22

Q = 24

Log likelihood

−8212.05

−8211.26

−830.71

−8301.27

y1

Dynamic equation

y1 − 1

0.3

0.2754 * * * ( 0.0489 )

0.2195 * * * ( 0.05 )

0.2206 * * * ( 0.052 )

0.2131 * * * ( 0.0527 )

y2 − 1

0.1

0.1376 * * * ( 0.0483 )

0.1267 * * ( 0.0513 )

0.1196 * * ( 0.0554 )

0.1010 * ( 0.0568 )

Gender = Male

−0.05

0.0580 ( 0.0479 )

0.0554 ( 0.0521 )

0.0732 ( 0.058 )

0.0599 ( 0.0604 )

Unemployment rate

−0.2

0.1509 * * * ( 0.0262 )

0.1682 * * * ( 0.0269 )

0.1792 * * * ( 0.0273 )

0.1810 * * * ( 0.0275 )

Intercept

1.9

2.3270 * * * ( 0.2598 )

2.3113 * * * ( 0.2667 )

2.3089 * * * ( 0.2726 )

2.30 * * * ( 0.2753 )

y2

Dynamic equation

y1−1

−0.1

0.0224 ( 0.0541 )

0.0051 ( 0.0567 )

0.0136 0.0594

0.0191 ( 0.0605 )

y2−1

0.4

0.5851 * * * ( 0.0596 )

0.4926 * * * ( 0.0610 )

0.4846 * * * ( 0.0642 )

0.4752 * * * ( 0.0650 )

Gender = Male

0.05

0.0570 ( 0.0542 )

0.0730 ( 0.0594 )

0.0817 ( 0.0650 )

0.0725 ( 0.0673 )

Medical density

0.5

1.3305 ( 1.0685 )

0.5687 ( 1.1111 )

0.4874 ( 1.1357 )

0.3549 ( 1.1473 )

Intercept

−0.4

1.7595 ( 2.040 )

0.4677 ( 2.1220 )

0.4064 ( 2.1704 )

0.1492 ( 2.1936 )