Author/ Country

Year of publication

Research Area/Continent

Study Design

Model/Measurement approach

Study period/ Time Horizon

food consumption

Batisani, N.

Botswana

2012

Botswana AFRICA

Cross Sectional

Spatial-Temporal Agricultural drought Dynamics, SPI McKee

2008-2009

Rainfall data

(1975-2005)

NR

Bandara, J. S.

Australia

2014

Bangladesh, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, ASIA

Prospective- cohort

Dynamic GTAP (Global Trade Analysis Project) Model known as Gdyn

2007-2010

2007-2030

overall to 2030 = 0.5% - 5% decline

Brizmohun, R. USA

2019

Mauritius AFRICA

Cross Sectional

Equilibrium Displacement Model

2007-2014

5% increase

Brown, M. E.

USA

2015

51 countries, Afghanistan, Kenya, Senegal, Mali

Cross Sectional

State Space Models

2008-2012

NR

Cai, Y.

Australia

2016

Bangladesh, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, South Asia (Bhutan, Maldives and Afghanistan) ASIA

Prospective- cohort

Integrated Assessment Modelling (IAM), Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Model GTEM-C, the GTEM-C model is calibrated to the GTAP 9 economic database. RCP8.5 Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) database

2015-2040

1961-2010,

2000-2008,

Baseline = 2015

RICE = 2040 = −1.1

wheat = 2040 = −1.04

average = −1.07%

Calzadilla, A.

Germany, UK

Netherlands

2013

The United States, the Middle East, North Africa and South Asia (Multiple Continents)

Prospective- cohort

GTAP-W model, multi-region world CGE model, IPCC SRES A1B and A2 Scenarios, Hadley Centre Global Environmental Model version 1 (HadGEM1)

1961-1990

2006-2030 = mean 2020, 2036-2065 = mean 2050

NR

Chen, B. USA

2019

27 countries, Africa, Asia, and Latin America (Multiple Continents)

Prospective- cohort

Models included in the GGCMI-AgMIP archive, panel structure with 76 sub-national markets (denoted by k) in 27 countries (denoted by i) observed during the 2000-2015 marketing years, estimate regression

2006-2050

2000-2015

NR

Calzadilla, A.

Germany, UK

Netherlands, USA

2013

Sub-Saharan Africa AFRICA

Prospective- cohort

Partial Equilibrium Model (IMPACT MODEL), GTAP-W General Equilibrium Model. Model has16 regions, 22 sectors, 7 FOOD. agriculture SRES B2 scenario

1961-2014

2011-2015

2000-2050

malnutrition (<5 years’ child)

increase 32%

Chung, U.

Mexico, USA, KENYA, South Korea

2014

USA, developing country

Prospective- cohort

Geo-Spatial Crop Modeling, crop model (DSSAT CSM-CERES-Maize v4.5). Trend Analysis. CSIRO-Mk3.0 and MIROC 3.2 global climate models. Emission scenarios (A1B and B1)

2000-2050

5% decrease consumption maize in USA2012