Absolute differences between “Energiewende” scenario and counterfactual scenario

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Ex post

Ex ante

Components of priceadjusted GDP (differences in billion ?

Gross domestic product

10.7

14.7

10.9

4.0

3.0

2.7

3.0

1.8

1.1

1.8

2.7

Private consumption

0.0

2.7

1.9

0.4

−1.2

−2.0

−2.5

−3.4

−4.4

−5.1

−5.3

Government consumption

0.0

−0.3

−0.1

0.0

−0.1

−0.1

−0.1

−0.1

−0.1

0.0

0.0

Machinery and equipment

9.5

10.1

6.8

1.8

0.7

0.6

0.3

−0.8

−1.2

−0.5

0.2

Buildings

4.5

6.2

5.6

2.8

3.7

3.9

4.7

4.4

4.4

4.8

5.1

Exports

0.4

0.1

−0.5

−0.9

−1.0

−1.0

−1.0

−0.9

−0.8

−0.6

−0.2

Imports

3.2

3.5

2.3

−0.5

−1.7

−2.1

−2.4

−3.3

−4.0

−4.1

−3.6

Price indices (differences in percentage points)

Consumer price index

0.00

0.01

0.16

0.29

0.35

0.38

0.38

0.39

0.39

0.40

0.29

Production price index

0.01

0.05

0.23

0.34

0.39

0.40

0.39

0.38

0.36

0.34

0.23

Import price index

−0.03

−0.11

−0.10

−0.06

−0.09

−0.10

−0.12

−0.15

−0.18

−0.21

−0.27

Labor market (differences in 1.000)

Employment

85.1

108.8

61.9

21.6

13.6

9.5

15.2

5.5

3.5

9.8

22.2

Unemployed persons

−54.4

−65.8

−36.8

−12.0

−7.0

−4.5

−8.0

−2.0

−0.8

−4.7

−12.3