Absolute differences between “Energiewende” scenario and counterfactual scenario | |||||||||||||
2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | |||
Ex post |
| Ex ante | |||||||||||
Components of priceadjusted GDP (differences in billion ? |
| ||||||||||||
Gross domestic product | 10.7 | 14.7 | 10.9 | 4.0 |
| 3.0 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2.7 | |
Private consumption | 0.0 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 0.4 |
| −1.2 | −2.0 | −2.5 | −3.4 | −4.4 | −5.1 | −5.3 | |
Government consumption | 0.0 | −0.3 | −0.1 | 0.0 |
| −0.1 | −0.1 | −0.1 | −0.1 | −0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
Machinery and equipment | 9.5 | 10.1 | 6.8 | 1.8 |
| 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | −0.8 | −1.2 | −0.5 | 0.2 | |
Buildings | 4.5 | 6.2 | 5.6 | 2.8 |
| 3.7 | 3.9 | 4.7 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 4.8 | 5.1 | |
Exports | 0.4 | 0.1 | −0.5 | −0.9 |
| −1.0 | −1.0 | −1.0 | −0.9 | −0.8 | −0.6 | −0.2 | |
Imports | 3.2 | 3.5 | 2.3 | −0.5 |
| −1.7 | −2.1 | −2.4 | −3.3 | −4.0 | −4.1 | −3.6 | |
Price indices (differences in percentage points) |
| ||||||||||||
Consumer price index | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.16 | 0.29 |
| 0.35 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 0.39 | 0.39 | 0.40 | 0.29 | |
Production price index | 0.01 | 0.05 | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| 0.39 | 0.40 | 0.39 | 0.38 | 0.36 | 0.34 | 0.23 | |
Import price index | −0.03 | −0.11 | −0.10 | −0.06 |
| −0.09 | −0.10 | −0.12 | −0.15 | −0.18 | −0.21 | −0.27 | |
Labor market (differences in 1.000) |
| ||||||||||||
Employment | 85.1 | 108.8 | 61.9 | 21.6 |
| 13.6 | 9.5 | 15.2 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 9.8 | 22.2 | |
Unemployed persons | −54.4 | −65.8 | −36.8 | −12.0 |
| −7.0 | −4.5 | −8.0 | −2.0 | −0.8 | −4.7 | −12.3 | |