Month | Peak load (MW) | Linear model | Quadratic model | Exponential model | |||||||||
LSRM (MW) | PSO (MW) | Error (%) | LSRM (MW) | PSO (MW) | Error (%) | LSRM (MW) | PSO (MW) | Error (%) | |||||
Jan. | 3160 | 2687.54 | 2697.77 | 14.95 | 14.63 | 2866.73 | 2878.53 | 9.28 | 8.91 | 2655.89 | 2664.63 | 15.95 | 15.68 |
Feb. | 2950 | 2689.48 | 2699.71 | 8.83 | 8.48 | 2775.18 | 2786.68 | 5.93 | 5.54 | 2657.49 | 2666.76 | 9.92 | 9.60 |
Mar. | 2760 | 2691.42 | 2701.66 | 2.48 | 2.11 | 2703.55 | 2714.65 | 2.05 | 1.64 | 2659.08 | 2668.90 | 3.66 | 3.30 |
Apr. | 2670 | 2693.36 | 2703.61 | −0.87 | −1.26 | 2651.84 | 2662.44 | 0.68 | 0.28 | 2660.68 | 2671.03 | 0.35 | −0.04 |
May | 2690 | 2695.30 | 2705.56 | −0.20 | −0.58 | 2620.05 | 2630.05 | 2.60 | 2.23 | 2662.27 | 2673.17 | 1.03 | 0.63 |
Jun. | 2820 | 2697.24 | 2707.50 | 4.35 | 3.99 | 2608.18 | 2617.48 | 7.51 | 7.18 | 2663.87 | 2675.31 | 5.54 | 5.13 |
Jul. | 2940 | 2699.18 | 2709.45 | 8.19 | 7.84 | 2616.23 | 2624.73 | 11.01 | 10.72 | 2665.47 | 2677.45 | 9.34 | 8.93 |
Aug. | 3180 | 2701.12 | 2711.40 | 15.06 | 14.74 | 2644.20 | 2651.8 | 16.85 | 16.61 | 2667.07 | 2679.59 | 16.13 | 15.74 |
Sep. | 3010 | 2703.07 | 2713.34 | 10.20 | 9.86 | 2692.09 | 2698.69 | 10.56 | 10.34 | 2668.67 | 2681.73 | 11.34 | 10.91 |
Oct. | 2587 | 2705.01 | 2715.29 | −4.56 | −4.96 | 2759.90 | 2765.4 | −6.68 | −6.90 | 2670.27 | 2683.88 | −3.22 | −3.74 |
Nov. | 2810 | 2706.95 | 2717.24 | 3.67 | 3.30 | 2847.63 | 2851.93 | −1.34 | −1.49 | 2671.87 | 2686.02 | 4.92 | 4.41 |
Dec. | 2890 | 2708.89 | 2719.18 | 6.27 | 5.91 | 2955.28 | 2958.28 | −2.26 | −2.36 | 2673.47 | 2688.17 | 7.49 | 6.98 |
Average error (%) | 6.64 | 6.47 | - | - | 6.40 | 6.18 | - | - | 7.41 | 7.09 |