(2a)

(2b)

(3a)

(3b)

GDP

0.946***

0.936***

0.943***

0.935***

(0.009)

(0.008)

(0.008)

(0.007)

POP65

0.077

0.192***

0.056

0.121**

(0.069)

(0.057)

(0.053)

(0.048)

ABED

0.046

0.050

(0.038)

(0.035)

FLABOUR

0.224***

0.311***

0.209***

0.261***

(0.077)

(0.073)

(0.068)

(0.064)

POPD

0.169

‒0.037**

0.177

‒0.027

(0.164)

(0.019)

(0.149)

(0.023)

PUBE

0.244***

0.154***

0.286***

0.249***

(0.061)

(0.057)

(0.052)

(0.049)

UNEMPLOY

0.045***

0.042***

0.043***

0.040***

(0.010)

(0.011)

(0.009)

(0.009)

DCOVER

‒0.068

(0.044)

TIME

0.289***

0.285***

0.271***

0.276***

(0.044)

(0.032)

(0.030)

(0.021)

R2

0.745

0.924

0.716

0.901

Observations

443

443

489

489

Specification tests (p-value):

F test

.000

.000

B-P test

.000

.000

Hausman test

.000

.000