Variable | Coping with production shocks | Coping with marketing shocks | ||||||
First part (Logit) | Second Part (Geometric) | First part (Logit) | Second Part (Geometric) | |||||
Coef. (Std. Err.) | Marginal effects | Coef. (Std. Err.) | Marginal effects | Coef. (Std. Err.) | Marginal effects | Coef. (Std. Err.) | Marginal effects | |
Human capital | ||||||||
Household size | 0.0749 (0.0261) | 0.0196*** | 0.0330 (0.0242) | 0.0191 | 0.0800 (0.0902) | 0.0139 | −0.0030 (0.0089) | −0.0013 |
Gender | 0.0347 (0.1876) | 0.0091 | 0.1516 (0.1866) | 0.0880 | 0.2269 (0.6725) | 0.0394 | 0.0350 (0.0680) | 0.0153 |
Age | −0.0099 (0.0044) | −0.0012* | −0.0073 (0.0042) | −0.0043* | −0.0209 (0.0165) | −0.0036 | 0.0014 (0.0015) | 0.0006 |
Marital status | −0.1835 (0.1853) | −0.0478 | −0.1401 (0.1851) | −0.0813 | 0.2619 (0.7801) | 0.0455 | −0.0113 (0.0674) | −0.0050 |
Education | −0.0035 (0.0130) | −0.0009 | −0.0231 (0.0123) | −0.0134 | −0.0438 (0.0453) | −0.0076 | 0.0015 (0.0045) | 0.0007 |
Social capital | ||||||||
Land tenure | 0.7258 (0.2006) | 0.0498*** | 0.4363 (0.1613) | 0.2533*** | −0.1673 (0.4163) | 0.1107 | 0.0393 (0.3390) | 0.0303 |
Membership to farmer groups | −0.1258 (0.2153) | −0.0329 | 0.2369 (0.1166) | 0.1375** | −0.3599 (0.3791) | −0.0625 | −0.0368 (0.0425) | −0.0160 |
Natural capital | ||||||||
Rural location | 0.8323 (0.1551) | 0.2177*** | 0.9952 (0.1537) | 0.5777*** | 0.2946 (0.5861) | 0.0512 | 0.2098 (0.0560) | 0.0915*** |
Land size | −0.0065 (0.0527) | −0.0017 | 0.0616 (0.0482) | 0.0358 | 0.1482 (0.1701) | 0.0257 | 0.0135 (0.0176) | 0.0059 |
Fertile soil | −0.2638 (0.1277) | −0.0281** | −0.2023 (0.1049) | −0.1174** | 0.7517 (0.3509) | 0.1305** | 0.0485 (0.0382) | 0.0211 |
Steep slope | −0.3298 (0.1523) | −0.0863** | −0.3789 (0.1436) | −0.2199*** | −0.4480 (0.5462) | −0.0778 | −0.0104 (0.0523) | −0.0045 |
Physical capital |
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Distance to market | 0.0211 (0.0260) | 0.0055 | 0.0302 (0.0212) | 0.0175 | −0.1444 (0.0973) | −0.0251 | −0.0043 (0.0077) | −0.0019 |
Distance to nearest agro-vet | 0.0372 (0.0303) | 0.0097 | −0.0095 (0.0147) | −0.0055 | −0.1005 (0.0656) | −0.0174 | −0.0015 (0.0053) | −0.0007 |
Type of irrigation system | 0.0214 (0.1742) | 0.0056 | −0.0709 (0.1613) | −0.0411 | −1.4039 (0.5586) | −0.2438*** | −0.0711 (0.0588) | −0.0310 |
Financial capital |
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Total household income | −0.1255 (0.2300) | −0.0328 | 0.0459 (0.2053) | 0.0267 | −0.5341 (0.4915) | −0.0927 | −0.0979 (0.0718) | −0.0427 |
Off-farm income | −0.2735 (0.1476) | −0.2148* | −0.2048 (0.1211) | −0.1189* | −1.0040 (0.4041) | −0.1743*** | 0.0360 (0.0441) | 0.0157 |
TLU | −0.1513 (0.0908) | −0.0396* | −0.1697 (0.0898) | −0.0985* | 0.4531 (0.2994) | 0.0787 | −0.0578 (0.0327) | −0.0252* |
Grading of AIV | −0.1427 (0.1096) | −0.0373 | −0.0572 (0.1060) | −0.0332 | −0.1334 (0.3355) | −0.0232 | 0.0649 (0.0386) | 0.0283* |
Number of farm enterprises | 0.0181 (0.0269) | 0.0048 | 0.0514 (0.0252) | 0.0298** | 0.1466 (0.1031) | 0.0255 | 0.0162 (0.0092) | 0.0070* |
Institution and access-related variables |
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Access to credit | 0.4052 (0.1446) | 0.1060*** | 0.2949 (0.1311) | 0.1712** | −0.2549 (0.4712) | −0.0443 | 0.0159 (0.0477) | 0.0069 |
Access to information | −0.0529 (0.1227) | −0.0138 | 0.3118 (0.1628) | 0.0971* | 0.6258 (0.4265) | 0.1087 | 0.0974 (0.0418) | 0.0425** |
High-value market access | 0.4224 (0.1537) | 0.1105*** | −0.1332 (0.1354) | −0.0773 | 0.8768 (0.5730) | 0.1522 | −0.0303 (0.0493) | −0.0132 |
Access to warning on shocks | 0.2915 (0.1718) | 0.0217* | 0.1566 (0.1391) | 0.0909 | 1.0411 (0.7895) | 0.1808 | −0.0127 (0.0507) | −0.0055 |
Contract farming | −0.0084 (0.2153) | −0.0022 | −0.1314 (0.1916) | −0.0763 | −0.1500 (0.5883) | −0.0260 | 0.0765 (0.0698) | 0.0334 |
Certification | 0.3368 (0.1266) | 0.0881*** | 0.1432 (0.1174) | 0.0831 | −0.1505 (0.4088) | −0.0261 | −0.0667 (0.0427) | −0.0291 |
Access to extension | 0.1114 (0.0321) | 0.0292*** | 0.1175 (0.0250) | 0.0682*** | 0.1758 (0.1586) | 0.0350 | 0.0090 (0.0091) | 0.0039 |
Constant | 1.8382 (3.7592) | −0.2345 (3.3583) | 9.5290 (8.3085) | 1.4512 (1.2209) | ||||
Regression diagnostics for the two-part model | ||||||||
Number of observation | 1232 | 629 | 1232 | 119 | ||||
Log likelihood | −762.8971 | −1219.4888 | −364.8154 | −143.1130 | ||||
LR chi2 (26) | 181.57 |
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| 52.76 |
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AIC/BIC | 3.9634/2100.375 | 2.8590/−362.471 |