Baseline

Observed modelled

AgMERRA reanalysis modelled

mean

lower

upper

mean

lower

upper

1981-2010

Tmin

14.72

14.68

14.76

15.47

15.44

15.51

Tmax

27.94

27.88

27.99

28.94

28.88

29.01

Tmean

21.33

21.28

21.38

22.21

22.16

22.26

Precip

854.50

781.60

927.50

764.60

715.00

814.30

Observed scenario

a1b ensemble

b1 ensemble

mean

lower

upper

mean

lower

upper

2011-2040

Tmin

15.33

15.29

15.36

15.26

15.21

15.30

Tmax

28.54

28.50

28.58

28.53

28.48

28.59

Tmean

21.94

21.90

21.97

21.90

21.85

21.95

Precip

797.70

741.00

854.40

777.40

712.30

842.50

2041-2070

Tmin

16.57

16.54

16.61

16.21

16.17

16.26

Tmax

29.79

29.75

29.75

29.44

29.39

29.50

Tmean

23.18

23.15

23.18

22.83

22.78

22.88

Precip

801.60

744.20

859.00

767.00

703.00

831.00

AgMERRA reanalysis scenario

a1b ensemble

b1 ensemble

mean

lower

upper

mean

lower

upper

2011-2040

Tmin

16.10

16.07

16.14

16.04

16.00

16.07

Tmax

29.49

29.43

29.54

29.46

29.40

29.51

Tmean

22.80

22.75

22.84

22.75

22.70

22.79

Precip

805.00

754.90

855.20

789.70

741.10

838.20

2041-2070

Tmin

17.36

17.32

17.39

17.00

16.97

17.04

Tmax

30.73

30.67

30.78

30.37

30.31

30.42

Tmean

24.05

24.00

24.09

23.69

23.64

23.73

Precip

802.30

752.40

852.20

778.20

730.50

825.90