AR(1) Model

MA(1) Model

Coefficient

Estimate

Std Error

t-value

Coefficient

Estimate

Std Error

t-value

ϕ 1

−0.2369

0.0816

−2.90

θ 1

0.2581

0.0811

3.18

σ ^ 2

0.0002

σ ^ 2

0.0002