Parameter

Posterior mean

P-value

Intercept

−7.5668

<0.0001

Log (volume)

0.5629

<0.0001

Length

0.7287

<0.0001

Speed Diff

0.0382

<0.0001

S-curve vs. single curve

−0.3182

0.0578

Multiple vs. single curve

0.2889

0.0003

Spring vs. winter

−0.0413

0.6621

Summer vs. winter

−0.3927

0.0117

Fall vs. winter

−0.2790

0.0542

2005 vs. 2011

1.7834

<0.0001

2006 vs. 2011

1.5176

<0.0001

2007 vs. 2011

1.3917

<0.0001

2008 vs. 2011

1.2045

<0.0001

2009 vs. 2011

0.8893

0.0048

2010 vs. 2011

1.2391

<0.0001

Parameters for probability model

Intercept

−4.3494

0.0053

Speed Diff

0.1238

0.0025