Parameter

Posterior mean

P-value

Intercept

−8.0551

<0.0001

Log (volume)

0.6992

<0.0001

Length

0.7602

<0.0001

Speed Diff

0.0278

0.002

S-curve vs. single curve

0.1061

0.5443

Multiple vs. single curve

0.4392

0.0463

Spring vs. winter

−0.3236

0.0460

Summer vs. winter

−0.3088

0.06604

Fall vs. winter

−0.5034

0.004

2005 vs. 2011

1.2227

<0.0001

2006 vs. 2011

0.9846

0.0005

2007 vs. 2011

0.9411

0.0009

2008 vs. 2011

0.5879

0.0476

2009 vs. 2011

0.2842

0.3684

2010 vs. 2011

0.6984

0.0158

Parameters for probability model

Intercept

−1.1540

0.006