| Superordinate objective (category) | Time series analysis |
| Method | Structural time series analysis, maximum likelihood method |
| Description + literature | The Gaussian (normal), Gumbel and Weibull probability density functions are described by means of 2 time-dependent parameters (mean and standard deviation) Trömel, S. (2004): Statistische Modellierung von Klimazeitreihen, Dissertation, J.W. Goethe Universität Frankfurt am Main, 2004. |
| Useful for (parameter, time resolution) | Monthly mean temperature, monthly mean precipitation total |
| Requirements for application | Long, gap-free time series of at least 100 years length |
| Result/interpretation | Trends in mean and standard deviation |
| Assessment | Application of method requires the describability of the time series values by means of a probability density function (Kolmogorov?Smirnov test) |
| Example/publication | Bülow, K. (2010): Zeitreihenanalyse von regionalen Temperatur- und Niederschlagssimulationen in Deutschland, Dissertation, Uni-Hamburg, Berichte zur Erdsystem Forschung 75, 2010. Trömel, S. and C.-D. Schönwiese (2007): Probability change of extreme precipitation observed from 1901 to 2000 in Germany, Theor. Appl. Climatol., 87, 29-39. |
| Contact/project | Katharina Bülow, Bundesamt für Seeschifffahrt und Hydrographie katharina.buelow@bsh.de KLIWA |