Forecast origin n

Fitted mse

Forecast mse

Original

Combined

Original

Combined

50

370

−46

1.377

1.209

6.158

5.760

51

411

−46

1.351

1.185

6.230

5.407

52

252

−46

1.354

1.202

6.493

5.641

53

446

−39

1.397

1.266

6.071

5.943

54

310

−55

1.371

1.160

6.070

5.611

55

261

−37

1.356

1.254

5.941

5.549

56

465

−41

1.345

1.189

6.108

5.720

57

400

−39

1.331

1.218

6.234

5.592

58

507

−36

1.312

1.191

6.142

6.224

59

405

−32

1.290

1.175

6.044

5.687

60

354

−62

1.434

1.207

5.600

5.300

Average

1.356

1.205

6.099

5.676

Combined reduction %

11.1

6.9