State Name

Fitted ARIMA Model

IMR Values

Year

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

Andhra Pradesh

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

42

41

41

40

39

38

37

36

36

35

34

33

33

32

31

30

LCL

37

35

33

32

31

30

29

28

27

26

25

24

23

22

22

21

UCL

49

49

49

49

49

49

48

48

48

47

47

46

46

45

45

44

Assam

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

54

53

52

51

50

49

48

47

46

45

44

43

43

42

41

40

LCL

47

44

42

41

39

38

36

35

34

33

31

30

29

28

28

27

UCL

62

63

63

63

63

63

63

63

63

63

62

62

62

61

61

60

Bihar

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

39

38

37

36

34

33

32

31

30

29

28

27

27

26

25

24

LCL

33

31

29

27

26

24

23

22

21

20

19

18

17

16

15

15

UCL

46

47

47

47

46

46

46

45

45

44

43

43

42

41

41

40

Gujarat

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

40

39

38

36

35

34

33

32

31

30

29

28

27

26

25

24

LCL

34

32

30

29

27

25

24

23

22

21

20

19

18

17

16

16

UCL

47

47

47

47

46

46

45

44

44

43

42

41

41

40

39

38