State Name | Fitted ARIMA Model | NNMR Values | Year | |||||||||||||||
2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | |||
Andhra Pradesh | (0, 1, 1) | Predicted | 24 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 |
LCL | 21 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | ||
UCL | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 23 | ||
Assam | (0, 1, 1) | Predicted | 26 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 |
LCL | 20 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | ||
UCL | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 31 | ||
Bihar | (0, 1, 1) | Predicted | 26 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 |
LCL | 22 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | ||
UCL | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 27 | ||
Gujarat | (0, 1, 1) | Predicted | 25 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 |
LCL | 21 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | ||
UCL | 31 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 23 | ||
Haryana | (0, 1, 1) | Predicted | 27 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
LCL | 23 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 17 | ||
UCL | 33 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 24 | ||
Himachal Pradesh | (0, 1, 1) | Predicted | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 22 |
LCL | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | ||
UCL | 47 | 46 | 46 | 45 | 44 | 44 | 42 | 42 | 40 | 40 | 38 | 36 | 36 | 34 | 34 | 33 | ||
Karnataka | (0, 1, 1) | Predicted | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 |
LCL | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | ||
UCL | 27 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | ||
Kerala | (0, 1, 1) | Predicted | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
LCL | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||
UCL | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | ||
Madhya Pradesh | (0, 1, 1) | Predicted | 35 | 34 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 |
LCL | 31 | 30 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 18 | ||
UCL | 40 | 39 | 39 | 39 | 39 | 38 | 38 | 37 | 37 | 36 | 36 | 35 | 35 | 34 | 34 | 33 | ||
Maharashtra | (0, 1, 1) | Predicted | 18 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 |
LCL | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | ||
UCL | 21 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | ||
Orissa | (0, 1, 1) | Predicted | 36 | 35 | 35 | 34 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 25 |