State Name

Fitted ARIMA Model

U5MR Values

Year

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

Andhra Pradesh

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

29

28

27

26

26

25

24

23

23

22

22

21

20

20

19

19

LCL

22

21

20

19

18

17

16

15

15

14

14

13

12

12

11

11

UCL

37

37

37

37

37

36

36

36

35

35

34

34

34

33

33

32

Assam

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

33

31

30

29

28

27

26

25

25

24

23

22

21

20

20

19

LCL

21

19

18

17

15

14

13

13

12

11

10

10

9

9

8

8

UCL

51

51

51

52

52

52

51

51

51

51

50

50

49

49

48

48

Bihar

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

39

38

37

35

34

33

32

31

30

29

28

28

27

26

25

24

LCL

29

28

27

26

25

25

24

23

22

22

21

20

20

19

19

18

UCL

52

51

49

48

46

45

44

42

41

40

38

37

36

35

34

33

Gujarat

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

29

28

27

26

25

24

23

22

21

20

19

19

18

17

16

16

LCL

25

24

23

22

21

20

19

18

18

17

16

16

15

14

14

13

UCL

35

33

32

31

29

28

27

26

25

24

23

22

21

20

19

19

Haryana

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

33

32

31

30

30

29

28

27

27

26

25

25

24

24

23

22

LCL

24

22

20

19

17

16

15

14

14

13

12

12

11

10

10

9