State Name | Fitted ARIMA Model | IMR Values | Year | |||||||||||||||
2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | |||
Andhra Pradesh | (0, 1, 1) | Predicted | 37 | 36 | 36 | 35 | 34 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 26 |
LCL | 33 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 18 | ||
UCL | 42 | 42 | 43 | 42 | 42 | 42 | 42 | 41 | 41 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 39 | 39 | 38 | 38 | ||
Assam | (0, 1, 1) | Predicted | 52 | 51 | 50 | 49 | 48 | 47 | 46 | 45 | 44 | 43 | 42 | 41 | 41 | 40 | 39 | 38 |
LCL | 45 | 42 | 40 | 39 | 37 | 36 | 34 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 25 | ||
UCL | 60 | 61 | 61 | 61 | 62 | 62 | 61 | 61 | 61 | 61 | 61 | 60 | 60 | 59 | 59 | 59 | ||
Bihar | (0, 1, 1) | Predicted | 39 | 38 | 37 | 36 | 35 | 34 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 25 |
LCL | 33 | 31 | 29 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 15 | ||
UCL | 47 | 47 | 47 | 47 | 47 | 47 | 46 | 46 | 45 | 45 | 44 | 44 | 43 | 43 | 42 | 41 | ||
Gujarat | (0, 1, 1) | Predicted | 34 | 32 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 19 |
LCL | 29 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | ||
UCL | 39 | 39 | 38 | 38 | 37 | 36 | 36 | 35 | 34 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 29 | ||
Haryana | (0, 1, 1) | Predicted | 39 | 38 | 37 | 36 | 35 | 34 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 26 |
LCL | 34 | 33 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 19 | ||
UCL | 45 | 44 | 44 | 43 | 43 | 42 | 41 | 41 | 40 | 39 | 39 | 38 | 37 | 37 | 36 | 35 | ||
Himachal Pradesh | (0, 1, 1) | Predicted | 34 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 24 |
LCL | 28 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | ||
UCL | 40 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 42 | 42 | 42 | 42 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 40 | 40 | 40 | ||
Karnataka | (0, 1, 1) | Predicted | 30 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 21 |
LCL | 25 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | ||
UCL | 35 | 36 | 36 | 36 | 36 | 36 | 36 | 36 | 36 | 36 | 35 | 35 | 35 | 35 | 34 | 34 | ||
Kerala | (0, 1, 1) | Predicted | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
LCL | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | ||
UCL | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | ||
Madhya Pradesh | (0, 1, 1) | Predicted | 51 | 50 | 49 | 47 | 46 | 45 | 43 | 42 | 41 | 40 | 38 | 37 | 36 | 35 | 34 | 33 |
LCL | 47 | 46 | 44 | 42 | 41 | 39 | 38 | 37 | 36 | 34 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 28 | ||
UCL | 56 | 55 | 54 | 52 | 51 | 50 | 49 | 48 | 47 | 46 | 45 | 44 | 43 | 42 | 41 | 40 | ||
Maharashtra | (0, 1, 1) | Predicted | 23 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
LCL | 20 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | ||
UCL | 26 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 17 | ||
Orissa | (0, 1, 1) | Predicted | 48 | 46 | 45 | 44 | 42 | 41 | 40 | 39 | 37 | 36 | 35 | 34 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 30 |