State Name

Fitted ARIMA Model

IMR Values

Year

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

Andhra Pradesh

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

37

36

36

35

34

33

33

32

31

30

30

29

28

28

27

26

LCL

33

31

30

29

27

26

25

24

24

23

22

21

20

20

19

18

UCL

42

42

43

42

42

42

42

41

41

40

40

40

39

39

38

38

Assam

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

52

51

50

49

48

47

46

45

44

43

42

41

41

40

39

38

LCL

45

42

40

39

37

36

34

33

32

31

30

29

28

27

26

25

UCL

60

61

61

61

62

62

61

61

61

61

61

60

60

59

59

59

Bihar

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

39

38

37

36

35

34

33

32

31

30

29

28

27

26

25

25

LCL

33

31

29

27

26

24

23

22

21

20

19

18

17

16

15

15

UCL

47

47

47

47

47

47

46

46

45

45

44

44

43

43

42

41

Gujarat

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

34

32

31

30

29

28

27

26

25

24

23

22

22

21

20

19

LCL

29

27

26

24

23

22

20

19

18

17

17

16

15

14

14

13

UCL

39

39

38

38

37

36

36

35

34

33

33

32

31

31

30

29

Haryana

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

39

38

37

36

35

34

33

32

31

31

30

29

28

28

27

26

LCL

34

33

31

30

29

28

27

26

25

24

23

22

21

21

20

19

UCL

45

44

44

43

43

42

41

41

40

39

39

38

37

37

36

35

Himachal Pradesh

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

34

33

32

31

31

30

29

29

28

28

27

26

26

25

25

24

LCL

28

26

25

24

23

22

21

20

19

18

18

17

16

16

15

15

UCL

40

41

41

41

42

42

42

42

41

41

41

41

41

40

40

40

Karnataka

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

30

29

28

28

27

26

26

25

24

24

23

23

22

22

21

21

LCL

25

23

22

21

20

19

18

17

17

16

15

15

14

14

13

13

UCL

35

36

36

36

36

36

36

36

36

36

35

35

35

35

34

34

Kerala

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

11

11

10

10

10

10

9

9

9

8

8

8

8

7

7

7

LCL

8

7

7

6

6

5

5

5

4

4

4

4

3

3

3

3

UCL

16

16

16

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

Madhya Pradesh

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

51

50

49

47

46

45

43

42

41

40

38

37

36

35

34

33

LCL

47

46

44

42

41

39

38

37

36

34

33

32

31

30

29

28

UCL

56

55

54

52

51

50

49

48

47

46

45

44

43

42

41

40

Maharashtra

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

23

22

21

20

19

19

18

17

17

16

16

15

15

14

14

13

LCL

20

19

18

17

16

15

15

14

13

13

12

12

11

11

10

10

UCL

26

25

25

24

23

23

22

22

21

20

20

19

19

18

18

17

Orissa

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

48

46

45

44

42

41

40

39

37

36

35

34

33

32

31

30