13

0.015517

10.10254

75.13497

5.830781

1.800471

7.131235

14

0.015529

10.09116

75.09528

5.824669

1.866098

7.122801

15

0.015548

10.08138

75.05910

5.816622

1.927647

7.115247

16

0.015566

10.09030

75.02534

5.809199

1.960380

7.114778

17

0.015581

10.11747

74.97996

5.802448

1.974589

7.125533

18

0.015591

10.15274

74.93925

5.796861

1.976573

7.134574

19

0.015596

10.17968

74.91139

5.793309

1.975383

7.140244

20

0.015598

10.19446

74.89182

5.792246

1.978399

7.143069

Variance Decomposition of D(SAP):

Period

S.E.

D(FEDR)

D(YGAP)

D(SAP)

D(R)

D(ZARX)

1

0.464076

0.114568

26.76535

73.12008

0.000000

0.000000

2

0.509091

1.359815

24.77611

72.42341

0.020099

1.420563

3

0.541211

6.701786

22.18903

64.67564

0.449341

5.984207

4

0.576660

11.20723

21.21146

57.88488

0.995263

8.701173

5

0.619620

14.21246

20.15023

54.01086

2.092265

9.534182

6

0.657214

16.20207

21.17924

50.06447

2.164964

10.38925

7

0.668875

17.19358

21.47890

48.90788

2.135514

10.28412

8

0.674982

17.05853

21.31612

49.34065

2.149683

10.13501

9

0.680064

16.82157

21.05409

49.76905

2.345570

10.00972

10

0.682595

16.78524

20.91200

49.69306

2.670541

9.939161

11

0.683991

16.79059

20.82729

49.59486

2.887327

9.899929

12

0.685224

16.74822

20.75242

49.55892

3.028906

9.911543

13

0.686191

16.70286

20.69506

49.49739

3.133959

9.970730

14

0.686971

16.70745

20.65176

49.41279

3.212193

10.01581

15

0.687773

16.75850

20.61165

49.32481

3.271923

10.03312

16

0.688456

16.81023

20.58307

49.25193

3.314176

10.04060

17

0.688891

16.84215

20.56554

49.20382

3.339882

10.04861

18

0.689135

16.85855

20.55545

49.17900

3.352633

10.05437

19

0.689268

16.86506

20.54955

49.17094

3.357321

10.05713

20

0.689341

16.86663

20.54523

49.17134

3.358086

10.05871

Variance Decomposition of D(R):

Period

S.E.

D(FEDR)

D(YGAP)

D(SAP)

D(R)

D(ZARX)

1

0.965203

1.747883

5.418447

4.733423

88.10025

0.000000

2

1.023986

2.180782

6.612403

7.453399

83.40437

0.349042

3

1.078005

5.621703

11.96786

6.731252

75.27326

0.405926

4

1.140124

5.025887

20.59558

6.270605

67.61327

0.494662

5

1.195292

5.772932

25.52595

6.434433

61.80661

0.460076

6

1.211792

5.661775

26.91815

6.261592

60.51661

0.641869