Climate-Driven Phenomena | Biophysical/Risk Effects (Evidence from previous Events) | Data Source/s | Critical Impact Barangay/Sector |
Increase in Temperature | · Projected 2˚C - 3˚C change in temperature in the Bicol Region with 2× CO2 Scenario (Canadian Climate Change Model) · Recorded episodes of ENSO (El Nino and La Nina) that affected the Province of Albay | · Philippine Initial National Communication on Climate Change (PINCCC) | · Agriculture, · Livelihoods · Water sector · - Health |
Sea Level Rise | · Inundation of land and changes in tides in the coastal barangays of Malidong (Pioduran), Catburawan (Ligao City), Nagas, Tapel and Maramba (Oas), Pantao (Libon), and Villahermosa (Rapu-Rapu). · Observed a slight SLR on the West Coast and on the Pacific side in Rapu-Rapu. | · Barangay visual accounts and observations · PSML · PINCC (Coast and Geodetic Survey Department or CGSD of NAMRIA in Legaspi, Albay) | · Agriculture, · Livelihoods · Water sector · Health · Settlements, Land · Use |
Waves and Storm Surges | · Passing of more typhoons (exceeding the area average of 3 typhoons within 2 years) · More rain volume from Typhoons surpassing the average (2009) · Stronger winds (between 150 to 260 km/hr.) · Increasing incidence of evacuation of household members from their residence along coastal areas especially those living very near the shorelines · Occurrence of Storm Surge | · PAGASA data and local observations · Case of Tropical Depression Dante (2009) · Super Typhoons Sisang (1987) and Milenyo and Reming in 2006 · Provincial Disaster Profile from Albay-PDCC · 1970 and 1983 as noted in the official records from NRDB-PAGASA | · Housing · Livelihood/ · Economy · Water drains, settlements · All sectors · Schools, · Women, and Children · Settlements, Livelihoods, basic infrastructure · Lifelines (water, power, electricity communications) |
Extreme Rainfall and Riverine Floods | · Flashflood events · Riverbank erosion · Areas identified as land slide and erosion prone · Projected 1.0 - 1.5 change in rainfall ratio in the Bicol Region with 2× CO2 Scenario (Canadian Climate Change Model) | · PDCC data · PDCC data · - Local Geo-hazard map (MGB-DENR) | · Agriculture, · Livelihoods · Health · Land Use |