Scenarios

CORE

CORE

INTERMEDIATE

INTERMEDIATE

CONSTANT

CONSTANT

Main results

2011

2025

2040

2025

2040

2025

2040

Prevalence

300.769

644.738

1.183.630

564.781

862.623

516.239

660.102

Comp 0

166.327

372.443

708.091

320.497

504.314

270.745

320.276

Comp 1

57.415

123.738

219.485

112.333

171.215

106.545

139.486

Comp 2

77.027

148.557

256.055

131.951

187.094

138.949

200.340

Incidence

29.451

46.756

62.694

34.289

35.967

34.289

35.967

Mortality

11.714

16.139

23.443

14.246

17.125

21.080

29.281

Costs

2011

2025

2040

2025

2040

2025

2040

Health care

725.464.495

1.431.166.663

2.455.206.345

1.286.964.483

1.842.156.831

1.315.790.252

1.850.934.097

Pharma

149.953.681

306.038.534

532.748.176

274.264.799

400.288.479

267.676.403

359.781.970

Nursing

849.715.906

1.619.462.228

2.706.184.561

1.468.784.708

2.063.159.419

1.544.346.999

2.236.535.856

Prod

1.750.025.792

3.064.095.305

4.923.289.744

2.746.838.024

3.698.946.354

3.127.797.930

4.207.509.369

Add

761.956.851

1.529.690.283

2.638.947.964

1.369.600.181

1.974.463.293

1.356.548.093

1.849.550.722

Total

4.237.116.724

7.950.453.013

13.256.376.791

7.146.452.195

9.979.014.377

7.576.581.375

10.452.804.987

Costs

2011

2025

2040

2025

2040

2025

2040

Comp 0

1.000.175.623

2.136.663.476

3.976.831.728

1.848.713.102

2.829.576.658

1.653.206.164

1.942.921.596

Comp 1

780.825.699

1.587.383.184

2.735.883.493

1.452.635.301

2.152.000.515

1.486.812.323

1.966.885.574

Comp 2

2.456.115.402

4.226.406.354

6.543.661.570

3.845.103.792

4.997.437.204

4.436.562.888

6.542.997.816

Total

4.237.116.724

7.950.453.013

13.256.376.791

7.146.452.195

9.979.014.377

7.576.581.375

10.452.804.987

Cost per PYRS

2011

2025

2040

2025

2040

2025

2040

Health care

2.412

2.220

2.074

2.279

2.136

2.549

2.804

Pharma

499

475

450

486

464

519

545

Nursing

2.825

2.512

2.286

2.601

2.392

2.992

3.388

Prod

5.819

4.752

4.159

4.864

4.288

6.059

6.374

Add

2.533

2.373

2.230

2.425

2.289

2.628

2.802

Total

14.088

12.331

11.200

12.653

11.568

14.676

15.835

Cost per PYRS

Comp 0

6.013

5.737

5.616

5.768

5.611

6.106

6.066

Comp 1

13.600

12.829

12.465

12.932

12.569

13.955

14.101

Comp 2

31.887

28.450

25.556

29.140

26.711

31.929

32.659

Total

14.088

12.331

11.200

12.653

11.568

14.676

15.835

CostsComp 0

2011

2025

2040

2025

2040

2025

2040

Health care

89.858.530

192.519.334

357.882.722

167.209.450

254.934.374

146.323.763

173.757.001

Pharma

49.838.798

110.062.768

207.478.714

95.344.235

147.955.413

81.928.854

96.563.562

Nursing

42.624.350

94.604.864

179.036.012

82.877.432

130.048.675

73.656.667

91.717.861

Prod

570.851.210

1.193.708.678

2.203.162.563

1.030.274.736

1.561.946.494

944.518.912

1.100.545.460

Add

247.002.735

545.767.832

1.029.271.717

473.007.250

734.691.702

406.777.968

480.337.711

Total

1.000.175.623

2.136.663.476

3.976.831.728

1.848.713.102

2.829.576.658

1.653.206.164

1.942.921.596

CostsComp 1

Health care

140.219.673

302.987.736

535.364.206

276.895.072

420.743.614

265.840.227

352.108.316

Pharma

41.115.818

87.645.991

152.374.975

80.431.870

120.556.747

78.113.986

104.168.247

Nursing

132.137.580

279.397.935

486.999.832

256.937.075

387.705.039

251.399.983

339.344.222

Prod

342.957.246

651.973.536

1.099.551.688

594.900.265

857.994.243

655.209.285

856.531.503

Add

124.395.382

265.377.986

461.592.792

243.471.020

365.000.871

236.248.842

314.733.286

Total

780.825.699

1.587.383.184

2.735.883.493

1.452.635.301

2.152.000.515

1.486.812.323

1.966.885.574

Costs Comp 2

Health care

495.386.292

935.659.594

1.561.959.417

842.859.962

1.166.478.842

903.626.263

1.325.068.780

Pharma

58.999.065

108.329.774

172.894.487

98.488.694

131.776.319

107.633.562

159.050.161

Nursing

674.953.976

1.245.459.429

2.040.148.717

1.128.970.201

1.545.405.705

1.219.290.350

1.805.473.773

Prod

836.217.336

1.218.413.092

1.620.575.493

1.121.663.023

1.279.005.617

1.528.069.732

2.250.432.405

Add

390.558.733

718.544.466

1.148.083.456

653.121.912

874.770.720

713.521.284

1.054.479.725

Total

2.456.115.402

4.226.406.354

6.543.661.570

3.845.103.792

4.997.437.204

4.436.562.888

6.542.997.816