Data point/order

Averaged prediction errors

for several percentile levels

Prediction errors for 50 percentile levels

1st

2nd

3rd

1st

2nd

3rd

Normal

situation

1-1000

0.17078

0.17078

0.17078

0.28333

0.05000

0.05000

1001-2000

0.27538

0.28333

0.27538

0.36248

0.05000

0.05000

2001-3000

0.21148

0.21148

0.21148

0.32702

0.15000

0.15000

3001-4000

0.39476

0.40311

0.39476

0.49917

0.25000

0.25000

4001-5000

0.15000

0.15723

0.15723

0.25000

0.05000

0.05000

Failure situation

for a bearing

5001 - 6000

0.84080

0.84869

0.84080

0.92391

0.65000

0.65000

6001 - 7000

1.12854

1.13541

1.14903

1.22395

0.95000

0.95000

7001 - 8000

0.73352

0.74106

0.73352

0.81257

0.55000

0.55000

8001 - 9000

0.80156

0.80709

0.80156

0.88459

0.55000

0.55000

9001 - 10,000

0.85781

0.86426

0.85781

0.93705

0.65000

0.65000

for a cogwheel

10,001 - 11,000

1.52179

1.54209

1.53632

1.60078

1.25000

1.25000

11,001 - 12,000

2.28236

2.30272

2.29740

2.35189

1.55000

1.55000

12,001 - 13,000

1.52834

1.53342

1.54353

1.60009

1.05000

1.05000

13,001 - 14,000

2.24456

2.26526

2.25985

2.30513

1.75000

1.75000

14,001 - 15,000

1.54281

1.54928

1.56356

1.63240

1.25000

1.25000