Major Variables

Base Case 2

Uncertainty Profile 2.1

Traffic income

Passenger car traffic volume ( DIW Econ GmbH, 2015b , Table 11)

Triangularly distributed uncertainty factor [0.9; 1.0; 1.3]

Coast-to-coast construction costs

excl. reserves

DKK 49.4 billion

Uniform distribution

DKK [40.5; 49.4] billion

EU subsidies

DKK 4.4 billion

Uniform distribution

DKK [4.4; 10.3] billion

Payback period (PBP)

by Monte Carlo simulation

Present model:

> 60 years

Red: 87.7%

Yellow: 12.3%

Green: 0.0%

Total construction costs

incl. reserves

DKK 64.4 billion

DKK [62.2; 64.4] billion

Total reserves

14%

[14; 30]%