| Full model metrics | Pair metrics | |||
AIC | BIC | R2 | β (p) | Lag | |
Sentencing Outcomes | |||||
Exonerations → Opinion (pw) | 89.45 | 108.83 | 0.33 | −2.14 (0.046)* | 1 |
Orienting Signals | |||||
Pop No DP → Opinion (pw) | 244.63 | 264.01 | 0.83 | 0.10 (0.023)* | 2 |
Opinion → States No DP (pw) | 187.58 | 206.96 | 0.45 | 0.25 (0.091)+ | 3 |
Moratoriums → Opinion (pw) | 241.00 | 260.37 | 0.85 | −3.79 (0.029)* | 1 |
Moratoriums → Opinion (pw) | 241.00 | 260.37 | 0.85 | 5.40 (0.006)** | 2 |
Moratoriums → Opinion (pw) | 241.00 | 260.37 | 0.85 | −4.19 (0.030)* | 3 |
Reorienting Signals | |||||
New Bans → Opinion (TCM) | 240.68 | 286.47 | 0.92 | −4.88 (0.015)*** | 2 |
Causation Between Orienting and Reorienting Signals | |||||
StatesNoDP → NewMoratoriums (TCM) | −70.56 | −24.77 | 0.77 | −0.05 (0.001)** | 1 |
StatesNoDP → NewMoratoriums (TCM) | −70.56 | −24.77 | 0.77 | 0.05 (0.020)* | 2 |