Climate Change Indicator

Forecast Method

BAU

NetZero

Rapid

Surface air temperature change at 25 m (˚C)

Theoretical, Equation (2)

0.38

0.14

0.20

Surface air temperature change at 25 m (˚C)

Calculated regression, Figure 4 Right

0.38

0.14

0.20

Surface air temperature change (˚C)

NASA Lowess Regression, Figure 4 Right

0.39

0.15

0.22

Land surface temperature change at 0.25 m (˚C)

Theoretical, Equation (3)

0.51

0.18

0.20

Land surface temperature change at 0.25 m (˚C)

Calculated regression, Figure 6 Right

0.51

0.18

0.28

Land surface temperature change (˚C)

NASA Lowess Regression, Figure 6 Right

0.54

0.17

0.27

Sea surface temperature change at 0.06 m (˚C)

Theoretical, Equation (4)

0.26

0.09

0.14

Sea surface temperature change at 0.06 m (˚C)

Calculated regression, Figure 8 Right

0.26

0.09

0.14

Sea surface temperature change (˚C)

NASA Lowess Regression, Figure 8 Right

0.28

0.14

0.18

Sea surface temperature change (˚C)

NOAA Regression, Figure 8 Right

0.34

0.19

0.23

Cumulated sea level rise (mm)

Theoretical

110

107

106

Cumulated sea level rise (mm)

Cumulated Calculated GSLR regression, Figure 11

103.5

1.7

19.0

Cumulated sea level rise (mm)

Adjusted GMSL Regression, Figure 11

135.4

3.0

21.5